
I could very easily write a second blog called “Sully Oscars” but I’m spending a wee too much time writing THIS blog to do a second one.
But I do want my predictions in writing and out there for all my readers to see.
I like the 10 picture nomination change. It gives the Oscars a better cross section of the movies of the year.
This is an interesting Oscar year. A lot of years you have heard people whining that there aren’t enough mainstream hits being nominated (blame the studios for not making enough Oscar worthy films.) But this year with films like Black Swan, The Fighter, True Grit and The King’s Speech, you see a lot of Oscar bait have become big money makers even before the Awards are handed out.
Mix them up with some mainstream hits like Inception and Toy Story 3 and indie fare like The Kids are Alright and Winter’s Bone and you have a pretty interesting line up.
(And of course there is the obligatory “Man who cuts his damn arm off” movie in 127 Hours.)
All that being said, Toy Story 3 is still the best movie of the year… but who is counting?
Here are my predictions.
These are not the films I think SHOULD win but what I predict WILL win.
Let’s see how I do:
BEST PICTURE -
The King's SpeechBEST DIRECTOR -
Tom Hooper -
The King's SpeechBEST ACTOR -
Colin Firth -
The King's SpeechBEST ACTRESS -
Natalie Portman -
Black SwanBEST SUPPORTING ACTOR -
Christian Bale -
The FighterBEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS -
Helena Bonham Carter - The King's Speech
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY -
David Seidler -
The King's SpeechBEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY -
Aaron Sorkin -
The Social NetworkBEST ANIMATED FEATURE -
Toy Story 3BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM -
BiutifulBEST ART DIRECTION -
The King's SpeechBEST CINEMATOGRAPHY -
True GritBEST COSTUME DESIGN - The King's SpeechBEST EDITING -
The Social NetworkBEST MAKE UP -
The WolfmanBEST MUSIC SCORE -
The Social NetworkBEST ORIGINAL SONG - "We Belong Together" -
Toy Story 3BEST SOUND -
InceptionBEST SOUND EFFECTS EDITING - InceptionBEST VISUAL EFFECTS -
InceptionAnd yup, I make the Documentary and the Short Film predictions as well.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE -
Inside JobBEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT -
Killing in the NameBEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM -
The GruffaloBEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM -
Wish 143I know a lot of people think the awards will be split between
The Social Network and
The King's Speech, but I think the praise for The Social Network peaked. And I think
The King's Speech will rampage for 7 Oscars and even have the upsets in the Director and Supporting Actress category. (Helena Bonham Carter has been an incredibly respected actress for a long time without a golden boy on her mantle. I think she'll get one over Melissa Leo, who was awesome in
The Fighter.)
And I think the brilliant
Roger Deakins will win Best Cinematography.
You may not notice that award or know his name... but he was responsible for the photography in
The Shawshank Redemption, Kundun, A Beautiful Mind and
Revolutionary Road... all amazingly well shot movies.
And oh yeah, he has shot every Coen Brothers film since
Barton Fink.
That would include
Fargo, The Big Lebowski, O Brother Where Art Thou?, The Man Who Wasn't There, No Country for Old Men and this year's
True Grit.
You are hard pressed to find a better body of work than that!
Either way, I am going to enjoy the Oscars. I always do.
And as I do every year, enjoy my AMC Oscar segments.